After trading near the $20,000 level for several days, Bitcoin (BTC) turned down sharply and dropped below $19,000 on Sept. 6. The fall was not limited to the cryptocurrency markets as the United States equities markets also closed lower on Sept. 6.
Risky assets have been facing selling pressure in the past few days as investors are worried that the Federal Reserve could continue with its aggressive tightening policy.
The CME FedWatch Tool shows that the probability for a 75 basis point rate hike in the September meeting has risen to 80% from 69% a week back. This extended the rise in the U.S. dollar index (DXY), which closed above 110 on Sept. 6.
The U.S. equities markets and the cryptocurrency markets are attempting a relief rally on Sept. 7 but the recovery is likely to sustain only after the DXY shows signs of topping out.
What are the critical overhead resistances in Bitcoin and altcoins that need to be crossed for the bullish momentum to pick up? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin’s tight range trading between $19,520 and $20,576 resolved to the downside on Sept. 6. The bears pulled the price to the strong support zone between $18,910 and $18,626.
That could sink the pair to the vital support at $17,622. A break and close below this level could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The downsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($20,427) and the relative strength index (RSI) near the oversold territory indicate that bears are in control.
The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA. Such a move will indicate that bulls are attempting a comeback.
ETH/USDT
Ether (ETH) rose above the moving averages on Sept. 6 but the bulls could not clear the overhead hurdle at $1,700. The bears sold aggressively and pulled the price back below the 20-day EMA ($1,597).
Alternatively, if the price bounces off the neckline, it will suggest that bulls continue to view dips as a buying opportunity. The pair could then consolidate between the neckline and $1,700 for some time. A break and close above $1,700 could clear the path for a possible rally to $2,030.
BNB/USDT
Binance Coin (BNB) turned down sharply from the 20-day EMA ($282) on Sept. 6 and broke below the critical support at $275. This completed a bearish H&S pattern.
On the other hand, if the price turns down from $275, it will suggest that bears have flipped the level into resistance. That could start a decline to $240 and if this support also gives way, the next stop could be the pattern target at $212.
XRP/USDT
The bulls pushed XRP above the overhead resistance at $0.34 on Sept. 6 but the bears trapped the aggressive buyers and pulled the price below the immediate support at $0.32.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level and sustains below $0.32, it will clear the path for a possible decline to $0.30. The bulls are likely to defend this level with all their might.
ADA/USDT
Cardano (ADA) closed above the 50-day simple moving average (0.49) on Sept. 4 and the bulls defended the level on Sept. 5. Buyers tried to extend the relief rally on Sept. 6 but met with a wall of selling near $0.51.
The bears will have to sink the price below $0.44 to open the doors for a drop to the crucial support at $0.40. Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above $0.51, the pair could rally to the downtrend line.
SOL/USDT
Solana (SOL) rallied to the 20-day EMA ($33) on Sept. 6 but the bulls could not overcome this barrier. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies.
On the contrary, if the price turns down and breaks below $30, the pair could extend its slide to the vital support at $26. The bulls are likely to mount a strong defense at this level because if this support cracks, the pair could resume its downtrend.
DOGE/USDT
The bulls attempted to push Dogecoin (DOGE) above the 20-day EMA ($0.06) on Sept. 6 but the bears sold the rally aggressively and pulled the price below the immediate support at $0.06.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from $0.06 or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are selling on rallies. That could increase the possibility of a drop to the strong support at $0.05.
Related: Bitcoin price hits 10-week low amid ‘painful’ US dollar rally warning
DOT/USDT
Buyers attempted to push Polkadot (DOT) above the moving averages on Sept. 5 and 6 but the bears defended the level aggressively as seen from the long wick on the candlesticks.
Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level and rises above the moving averages, it will suggest strong buying on dips. That could push the pair to $9.17 and later to the overhead resistance at $10.
MATIC/USDT
Buyers defended the 50-day SMA ($0.87) on Sept. 5 and attempted to extend the recovery on Sept. 6 but the bears had other plans. They sold aggressively at $0.92 and pulled Polygon (MATIC) back below the moving averages.
This is an important support to watch out for because a break and close below it could complete a bearish H&S pattern. If that happens, the MATIC/USDT pair could start a decline to $0.63 and thereafter to the pattern target of $0.45.
This negative view could invalidate in the near term if bulls push the pair above $0.93. The price could then rise to the strong overhead resistance at $1.05.
SHIB/USDT
The bulls purchased the dip in Shiba Inu (SHIB) on Sept. 5 but they could not sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.000013). This indicates that bears are selling on every minor rally.
Another possibility is that the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the moving averages. Such a move will suggest that selling dries up at lower levels. The SHIB/USDT pair could first rise to $0.000015 and later to $0.000018.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
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