Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept 9 & 16

  Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.       Forecast Prior Observation   Week of September 9       September 9       Wholesale Inventories – July 0.3% 0.3   Consumer Credit – July $12.0B 8.9           September 10       NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index – August 93.7 93.7           September 11       Consumer Price Index – August 0.2% 0.2   Core CPI 0.2 0.2           September 12       Producer Price Index – August 0.2 0.1   PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services) 0.3% 0.3           Treasury Budget – August -$252.0B -243.7           September 13       Export Prices –  August -0.1% 0.7   Import Prices 0.0 0.1   Import Prices, ex-Petroleum 0.2 0.2           Michigan Consumer Sentiment – Sept (p) 68.5 67.9           Week of September 16       September 16       New York Fed Manufacturing Index -3.7 -4.7           September 17       Retail Sales – August 0.3% 1.0   Retail Sales, ex Autos 0.5 0.4   Retail Sales, Autos       Retail Sales, Less Autos and Gas 0.5 0.4   Retail Sales, Gas               Industrial Production – August 0.1 -0.6   Capacity Utilization   77.8   Manufacturing -0.2 -0.3           Business Inventories – July 0.4% 0.3   NAHB Index   39           September 18       Housing Starts – August 1.235M 1.238   Building Permits 1.365 1.396           FOMC         5.125% 5.375   September 19       Initial Unemployment Claims       Philadelphia Fed Survey 2.7 -7.0   Current Account – Q2 -$262.0B -237.6   Leading Indicators  -0.3% -0.6   Existing Home Sales – August 3.825K 3.950  

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