| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data |
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Forecast |
Prior |
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Observation |
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Week of September 16
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| September 16 |
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| New York Fed Manufacturing Index |
-3.7 |
-4.7 |
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| September 17 |
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| Retail Sales – August |
0.3% |
1.0 |
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| Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.5 |
0.4 |
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| Retail Sales, Less Autos and Gas |
0.5 |
0.4 |
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| Retail Sales, Gas |
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| Industrial Production – August |
0.1% |
-0.6 |
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| Capacity Utilization |
77.8 |
77.8 |
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| Manufacturing |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
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| Business Inventories – July |
0.4% |
0.3 |
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| NAHB Index |
39 |
39 |
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| September 18 |
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| Housing Starts – August |
1.235M |
1.238 |
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| Building Permits |
1.365 |
1.396 |
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| FMOC |
5.125%
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5.375 |
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| September 19 |
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| Philadelphia Fed Survey |
2.7 |
-7.0 |
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| Current Account – Q2 |
-$262.0B |
-237.6 |
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| Leading Indicators |
-0.3% |
-0.6 |
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| Existing Home Sales – August |
3.825K |
3.950 |
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Week of September 23
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| September 23 |
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| Chicago Fed National Activity Index – August |
-0.20 |
-0.34 |
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| PMI Manufacturing – Flash |
48.4 |
47.9 |
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| PMI Services Flash |
55.0 |
54.6 |
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| September 24 |
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| S&P Case/Shiller Index – July |
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| Twenty City M/M |
0.1 |
0.6 |
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| Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.5 |
0.4 |
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| Twenty City Y/Y |
5.9 |
6.5 |
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| FHFA Home Price Index – July |
0.2% |
-0.1 |
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| Consumer Confidence – September |
102.0 |
103.3 |
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| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
-15.0 |
-19.0 |
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| September 25 |
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| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
-14.1 |
-9.7 |
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| New Home Sales – August |
700K |
739.0 |
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| September 26 |
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| Durable Goods Orders – August |
-2.9 |
9.8 |
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| GDP – Q2 (f) |
3.0 |
3.0 |
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| Pending Home Sale Index – Aug |
73.2 |
70.2 |
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| September 27 |
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| International Trade in Goods – August |
-$100.0B |
-102.7 |
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| Wholesale Inventories – August (a) |
0.2% |
0.2 |
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| Personal Income – August |
0.4% |
0.3 |
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| Personal Spending |
0.3 |
0.5 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept 9 & 16
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Aug. 5 & 12
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of July 29 & Aug. 5
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