| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
|
|
| |
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
|
| Week of February 3 |
|
|
|
| February 3 |
|
|
|
| PMI Manufacturing Index – January |
50.1 |
50.1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| ISM (Mfg) – January |
48.3% |
49.3 |
|
| ISM Prices |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| Auto Sales – January |
16.6M |
16.8 |
|
| Car Sales |
3.1 |
3.0 |
|
| Truck Sales |
13.5 |
13.9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| February 4 |
|
|
|
| Factory Orders – December |
-0.9% |
-0.4 |
|
| Durable Goods Orders |
-2.2 |
-1.2 |
|
| Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| JOLTS – December |
8.000M |
8.098 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| February 5 |
|
|
|
| ADP Employment Survey – January |
155K |
122 |
|
| International Trade – December |
-$87.4B |
-78.2 |
|
| PMI Services Index – January |
52.8 |
52.8 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| ISM Services – January |
55.1 |
54.1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| February 6 |
|
|
|
| Productivity – Q(4) – preliminary |
2.0% |
2.2 |
|
| Unit Labor Cost |
4.2 |
0.8 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Initial Unemployment Claims |
215K |
207 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| February 7 |
|
|
|
| Nonfarm Payrolls – January |
180K |
256 |
|
| Private |
165 |
223 |
|
| Manufacturing |
5.0 |
-13 |
|
| Unemployment |
4.1% |
4.1 |
|
| Average Workweek |
34.3HR |
34.3 |
|
| Average Hourly Earnings |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment – February (p) |
72.0 |
71.1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Wholesale Inventories (f) |
-0.5% |
-0.5 |
|
| Consumer Credit – December |
$12.5B |
-7.5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Week of February 10 |
|
|
|
| February 11 |
|
|
|
| NFIB Small Business Optimism Index – January |
103.5 |
105.1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| February 12 |
|
|
|
| Consumer Price Index – January |
0.3% |
0.4 |
|
| Core CPI |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Treasury Budget – January |
-$45.5B |
-86.7 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| February 13 |
|
|
|
| Producer Price Index – January |
0.3% |
0.2 |
|
| PPI less food, energy and trade services |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| February 14 |
|
|
|
| Retail Sales – January |
0.4% |
0.4 |
|
| Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
| Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Export Prices – January |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
| Import Prices |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
| Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum |
-0.1 |
0.2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Industrial Production – January |
0.2% |
0.9 |
|
| Manufacturing Output |
0.0 |
0.6 |
|
| Capacity Utilization |
77.6 |
77.6 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Business Inventories – December |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 27 & Feb. 3Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 20 And 27, 2025Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 13 and 20, 2025
Leave A Comment