Bitcoin (BTC) remains pinned below $27,000 and the recent weakness of the past few days has increased calls from analysts for a fall to the low $20,000 levels. While anything is possible, the bulls are unlikely to give up the $25,000 support without putting up a fight.
Glassnode’s lead on-chain analyst Checkmate said in his comments on May 24 that the Sell-side Risk Ratio metric suggests that “sellers are exhausted on both sides” and that indicates big moves “are coming.” The last time the Sell-side Risk Ratio was this low was in late 2015, which started the bull run that reached $20,000 in December 2017.
What are the crucial resistance levels in Bitcoin and the major altcoins that need to be crossed for a sustained recovery to begin? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin bounced off $25,871 on May 25, close to the strong support zone of $25,811 to $25,250. The bulls will try to push the price to the 20-day exponential moving average ($27,173).
The crucial level to watch on the downside is $25,250. The bulls are expected to defend this support with all their might because if this level crumbles, the BTC/USDT pair may fall to $24,000 and eventually to $20,000.
On the contrary, if bulls pierce the overhead resistance at the 20-day EMA, the pair could rise to the resistance line. Buyers will have to overcome this barrier to indicate that the correction may be over.
Ether price analysis
Ether (ETH) has been trading inside a falling wedge pattern for the past several days. The bears tried to sink the price to the support line of the wedge on May 25 but the bulls aggressively purchased the dip as seen from the long tail on the candlestick.
If the price turns down from the current level or the resistance line, it will suggest that bears remain active at higher levels. That could keep the pair stuck inside the wedge for a few more days.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) descended near the horizontal support of $300 on May 26 but the long tail on the candlestick shows buying by the bulls.
Contrarily, if the price turns up and breaks above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest solid demand at lower levels. The pair could then attempt a rally to the resistance line. Buyers will have to clear this hurdle to signal the start of a rally to $350.
XRP price analysis
The bears pulled XRP (XRP) below the 20-day EMA ($0.45) on May 24 and 25 but they could not sustain the lower levels. This shows that the sentiment has turned positive and traders are buying the dips to the 20-day EMA.
Alternatively, if the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that bears are back in the game. The pair could then drop to the crucial support at $0.40.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) is witnessing a tough tussle between the bulls and the bears near the uptrend line. The bears are trying to sink the price below the uptrend line but the bulls are fiercely defending the level.
If bulls want to seize control, they will have to shove and sustain the ADA/USDT pair above the moving averages. That will open the doors for a possible rally to the overhead resistance at $0.44 where the bears may again mount a strong defense.
Dogecoin price analysis
The bears pulled Dogecoin (DOGE) below the $0.07 support on May 25 but the long tail on the candlestick shows that the bulls are trying to protect the level.
Instead, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are selling on every minor rally. That will increase the likelihood of a break below $0.07 and the pair may slump to $0.06.
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) turned down from the 20-day EMA ($0.89) on May 25 but the bears could not sustain the lower levels. Strong buying by the bulls sent the price above the 20-day EMA on May 26.
On the contrary, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that supply exceeds demand. The pair could then drop to the vital support at $0.82. If this level gives way, a drop to $0.69 cannot be ruled out.
Related: Bitcoin reaches ‘decision point’ — 4 BTC price metrics to watch
Solana price analysis
The bulls managed to protect the $18.70 support on May 24 and 25 but they could not start a strong relief rally in Solana (SOL). That indicates a lack of demand at higher levels.
The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the downtrend line. The pair could then rise to the 50-day SMA ($21.65). If this level is surmounted, it will suggest the start of an up-move toward $27.12.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot’s (DOT) shallow bounce off the strong support at $5.15 on May 25 and 26 shows a lack of aggressive buying by the bulls. The bears will try to use this opportunity and build upon their advantage.
If bulls want to prevent a decline, they will have to quickly drive the price above the 20-day EMA ($5.40). If they manage to do that, it will suggest that the buyers are trying to form a higher low at $5.15.
The pair could first rise to the 50-day SMA ($5.82) and subsequently dash toward the downtrend line. A break above this level will suggest that the corrective phase may be over.
Litecoin price analysis
Litecoin (LTC) has been range-bound between $96 and $75 for the past few days. The price action inside the range can be random and volatile.
If the price breaks above the moving averages, it will suggest that the short-term sentiment is turning positive. The pair could then attempt a rally to $96 where the bears may again mount a strong resistance.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
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