Bitcoin’s (BTC) rally above $45,000 suggests that the short-term sentiment has turned positive and this has increased buying interest across the board and pushed the total crypto market capitalization above $1.8 trillion.
Driven by the tailwind of the London hard fork, Ether (ETH) broke above the $3,000 mark on Aug. 7. While the rally in the biggest altcoin is a positive sign, on-chain data shows the possibility of profit-booking in the short term.
Glassnode’s “Ethereum: Percent of Addresses in Profits” indicator has risen above 96.4%, which is the “red zone, historically associated with local tops,” according to Lex Moskovski, the chief investment officer at Moskovski Capital.
Buyers will now attempt to hold on to their advantage and build upon it. Let’s study the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that may outperform in the short term.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin broke above the resistance of the range at $42,451.67 on Aug. 6, which suggests that bulls are attempting to start a new uptrend. The buyers are likely to face stiff resistance at the 200-day simple moving average ($44,879).
If that happens, the BTC/USDT pair could rally to the $50,000 to $51,483 overhead resistance zone. This level may again act as a stiff resistance but if the bulls arrest the subsequent decline above the 200-day SMA, the uptrend could continue.
The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($39,230) and the relative strength index (RSI) near the overbought zone suggest that bulls are in control.
This positive view will be negated if the bears sink the price below the 20-day EMA. That could pull the price down to $36,670.
If the price rebounds off the 20-EMA, the pair could continue the uptrend towards $50,000. Alternatively, a break and close below the breakout level at $42,451.67 will be the first sign that the buyers may be losing their grip. That could open up the possibility for a fall to $40,000.
LTC/USDT
Litecoin (LTC) broke and closed above the $146.54 resistance on Aug. 6, completing a double bottom pattern. If bulls sustain the price above the breakout level, it will suggest the start of a new uptrend.
Contrary to this assumption, if bears pull the price back below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the current breakout was a bull trap. The pair could then drop to $120 and then to the critical support at $103.83.
If they manage to do that, the pair could slide to $135. Conversely, if the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will attempt to resume the uptrend. The next target objective on the upside is $165 and then $180.
ICP/USDT
Internet Computer (ICP) is attempting to form a reversal pattern. The bulls pushed the price above the overhead resistance at $59.42 on Aug. 7, which completed a double bottom pattern.
On the other hand, if the price turns up from the current level or the 20-day EMA, the bulls will again try to propel the price above $59.42. If they can pull it off, the pair could start a new uptrend, which has a pattern target at $90.53.
The bears are likely to mount a stiff resistance in the $66 to $72.27 zone but if the bulls can thrust the price above it, the uptrend could pick up momentum. The first sign of weakness will be a break below the 20-EMA. That could open the doors for a decline to $50.
THETA/USDT
THETA broke above the downtrend line on Aug. 4, suggesting that the selling pressure may be reducing. The price reached the 200-day SMA ($7.24) on Aug. 5 where the bears are offering stiff resistance.
If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at the 200-day SMA. If they succeed, the pair could start its journey toward the next target objective at $10.
On the contrary, if bears pull the price below the 20-day EMA, the pair could slide to $5.28. A break below this support will suggest that the current rally was a dead cat bounce.
Conversely, if the price rebounds off $6.30, it will suggest that bulls continue to buy on dips. The buyers will then try to push and sustain the price above $7.50. If they succeed, the pair could start its journey toward $9.
Related: 3 reasons why Ethereum is unlikely to flip Bitcoin any time soon
FTT/USD
FTX Token (FTT) has made a strong recovery since breaking out of the 200-day SMA ($34.60). The bears tried to pull the price back below the 200-day SMA on Aug. 4 but failed, which shows a change in sentiment from bearish to bullish.
If the price rebounds off this support, the bulls will again try to resume the up-move and push the FTT/USDT pair to the psychological resistance at $50. This positive view will invalidate if the price drops and closes below the 200-day SMA.
If the price dips but bounces off the 20-EMA, it will suggest that the uptrend remains intact. The pair could then charge toward the overhead resistance at $50 and then $52. The bears will have to pull and retain the price below the 20-EMA to start a correction that could reach $37.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
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