The fresh set of economic reports from China released last week showed that the economic engine of the world’s second largest economy continued to keep its pace of expansion. A measure of various reports covering manufacturing and services sectors managed to beat expectations with some indicators rising at the fastest pace in two years.
China’s official manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7 in November, according to official data from the National Bureau of Statistics. It was higher than forecasts of 51.0 and extended the gains from October’s print of 51.2. Non-manufacturing PMI, according to official data was also higher, rising to 54.7 after registering 54.0 a month ago.
However, the Caixin indicators showed a more moderate increase. Manufacturing was seen expanding in November but at a slower pace. The Caixin manufacturing PMI registered a print of 50.9, just shy of the 51.0 forecast and down from October’s print of 51.2. According to the Caixin’s report, companies reported a soft pace of expansion on total new orders while exports remained largely stable after declining in October.
Despite the minor differences between the official and Caixin PMI data on manufacturing, the data showed that Chinese firms have been doing fairly well underpinning hopes that the pace of economic growth will maintain its momentum.
The latest figures have given more validity for those bullish on China who expects the economy to grow past the 6.5% minimum GDP target that was set for this year. November’s data reflected that the manufacturing sector in China grew at the strongest pace in a couple of years.
In the third quarter, GDP advanced 6.7% on an annualized basis, which was a welcome change after growth slowed in 2015. China had set a GDP growth target of 6.5% – 7.0% for 2016, and with the third quarter GDP at 6.7%, it is quite likely that China will be meeting its GDP targets for this year.
Meanwhile, authorities have embarked on clamping down on the capital outflows on a weaker yuan. According to Reuters, the Peoples Bank of China has issued a new set of rules targeted at companies that make yuan-denominated loans to overseas entities to curb the outflows. The move is being seen as an apparent attempts to stabilize the yuan which has fallen by nearly 7% this year.
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