Stock Market Forecast Big Picture: The broad stock market is working through a more complex corrective price pattern. My recent forecast, as displayed in the chart below, indicates that the next leg up is toward 2500.The market may be about to start a larger A-B-C correction to test the 2300 level to fully cleanse itself, before starting the next leg up. But overall, the SPX is very bullish long-term.

Investors are among the most pessimistic they have been in 7 years!Over the past four weeks, this sentiment is nearing the lowest of all readings of the past 30 years. If it declines a bit further, it will suggest future returns of the SPX will be impressively positive over the next couple months.

Courtesy of TMTF service

 

Federal Tax Revenue Falls to 80-Month Low!

The last time that Federal receipts fell this much was, in July of 2008, right before the “financial crisis”.March of 2017 was the fourth month, in a row, in which federal receipts were down year over year, while growth rates overall have been falling quickly since mid-2015.This a RED FLASHING warning sign that all is not well in the U.S. economy.

 What is their solution?

Private Collection of Overdue Federal Taxes Begins this April.

The Internal Revenue Service, IRS, announced earlier this month have hired four debt collection agencies to collect on outstanding payments from taxpayers. The IRS now has employed private debt collection firms to contact taxpayers who still have not paid their previous years’ taxes.

Households and employees apparently are NOT doing nearly as well as they have been told they are! I wonder if Chairwoman Yellen and Company. ( https://mises.org/library/end-ultra-easy-money), are aware of all of this?  To my naked eye, this does not look like economic growth nor a healthy economic recovery!