Gold On The Verge Of Greatness

Last night, after Donald Trump bemoaned the strength in the dollar and the gold price jumped in reaction, I shared this chart on twitter. The last time gold tested this key resistance line, I was less optimistic about its ability to overcome it. However, as technicians like to say, the more times resistance is tested the weaker it becomes.

Gold is testing its downtrend line again: pic.twitter.com/JClkZv1omi

— Jesse Felder (@jessefelder) April 12, 2017

And, as my friends at Nautilus recently pointed out, the dollar is possibly following a pattern very similar to that near the 2002 peak. If Donald Trump get his way and the dollar peaks and reverses right here, gold will almost certainly break out, officially ending its 6-year bear market. 

Regime change for US Dollar? $UUP #dollar pic.twitter.com/158QQXf3Fs

— Nautilus Research (@NautilusCap) March 21, 2017

Finally, from a fundamental standpoint, gold has perhaps never been cheaper relative to financial assets than it is today. In other words, once it does break out there is plenty of potential to the upside.

Real assets at all-time lows relative to financial assets – via @Macronomics1 pic.twitter.com/ALSoJbPYjh

— Jesse Felder (@jessefelder) October 17, 2016