ASIA:China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged in line with market expectations during the monthly fixing. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) remained at 3.45%, and the five-year LPR was steady at 4.20%. This decision was influenced by economic data indicating a stabilizing economy and a weaker yuan, limiting the need for further monetary easing. Better-than-expected third-quarter GDP and retail sales data suggested an improving economic recovery, reducing the requirement for additional monetary support. A survey of analysts and traders had predicted this outcome. Additionally, the central bank’s decision to maintain the interest rate on maturing medium-term policy loans was consistent with the steady LPR fixings, as the medium-term lending facility (MLF) rate serves as a guide to the LPR and is seen as a precursor to changes in lending benchmarks.The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
The above data was collected around 12:35 EST.Precious Metals:
The above data was collected around 12:40 EST.No economic news from last night:No economic news from today:EUROPE/EMEA:The Bank of England is expected to keep its Bank Rate at 5.25% on November 2, as suggested by a majority of economists in a Reuters poll. While inflation remained at 6.7% in September, the highest among major advanced economies, 61 out of 73 economists surveyed anticipate no change in the Bank’s policy rate next week, aligning with market expectations. The data was close to what the Bank had predicted, and there was encouragement in the slowdown of core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices. Inflation is expected to gradually decrease but won’t reach the target until the second quarter of 2025, averaging 3.0% next year and 2.2% in 2025. Most economists predict the first rate cut won’t happen until at least July, with a median forecast for a 25 basis point reduction in the third quarter, although some believe it might occur earlier.The major Europe stock markets had a negative day today:
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
The above data was collected around 12:47 EST.Some economic news from Europe today:Euro Zone:Deposit Facility Rate (Oct) remain the same at 4.00%ECB Marginal Lending Facility remain the same at 4.75%ECB Interest Rate Decision (Oct) remain the same at 4.50%US/AMERICAS:The US economy grew at a 4.9% annualized pace in Q3 2023, exceeding expectations and marking the biggest gain since Q4 2021. The increase was due to contributions from consumer spending, increased inventories, exports, residential investment, and government spending. Consumer spending increased 4% for the quarter, and gross private domestic investment surged 8.4%. The sales in Boeing’s commercial aircraft unit rose 25% to $7.88 billion from the third quarter of 2022, boosted by deliveries of wide-body 787 Dreamliner planes, though lower 737 deliveries and abnormal production costs led to a negative operating margin of 8.6%. The company’s net loss narrowed to nearly $1.64 billion, or $2.70 a share, for the third quarter compared with the year-earlier period when it had a loss of $3.31 billion, or $5.49 a share.US Market Closings:
Canada Market Closings:
Brazil Market Closing:
ENERGY:The oil markets had a mixed day today:
The above data was collected around 12:49 EST.
The above data was collected around 12:57 EST.BONDS:Japan 0.885% (+3bp), US 2’s 5.04% (-0.077%), US 10’s 4.8976% (-5.54bps); US 30’s 5.04% (-0.049%), Bunds 2.847% (-4bp), France 3.480% (-3.7bp), Italy 4.868% (-4.8bp), Turkey 25.85% (-5bp), Greece 4.181% (-9.7bp), Portugal 3.569% (-3.4bp); Spain 3.960% (-4.5bp) and UK Gilts 4.584% (-2.9bp)The above data was collected around 13:07 EST.More By This Author:Market Talk – Wednesday, Oct. 25
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