Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year’s all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
The main U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.4% and +0.2% on Wednesday, extending their short-term fluctuations following last Friday’s technology stocks’ sell-off, as investors reacted to economic data releases, including the FOMC Interest Rates Increase announcement. All the main stock market indexes have reached new all-time highs recently.
The S&P 500 index trades just 0.3% below its new record high of 2,446.20. It has broken above week-long consolidation along 2,400 mark. Stocks have rebounded strongly after their mid-May quick two-session sell-off and continued over eight-year-long bull market off 2009 lows. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has reached yet another new record high at the level of 21,391.97 yesterday.
The technology Nasdaq Composite index retraced some of its recent rebound, as it closed slightly below the level of 6,200. The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index remains at around 2,440-2,450, marked by new record high, among others. On the other hand, support level is at around 2,415-2,420, marked by previous resistance level. The next support level is at 2,400-2,410, marked by the May 25 daily gap up of 2,405.58-2,408.01, among others. The support level is also at 2,390-2,395, marked by some short-term local lows. Will the uptrend continue towards 2,500 mark? There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some overbought conditions and negative technical divergences. The S&P 500 index is currently trading within a two-week-long consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:
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