After weeks of modest declines, the US Oil Rig Count plunged by 31 to 467 this week – the biggest drop since April 2015 led by a 19 drop in Texas. Total rig count crashed 48 to 571. The reaction, though muted, was a jump in crude prices.

  • *BAKER HUGHES OIL RIG COUNT FALLS 31 THIS WK TO 467
  • *U.S. TOTAL RIG COUNT DOWN 48 TO 571
  • A big plunge – tracking lagged crude perfectly…

     

    Led by Texas in absolute terms – but every region is accelerating in the last 6 months…

     

    For now, as Bloomberg reports, production has not budged. 

     

    After a year of low oil prices, only 0.1 percent of global production has been curtailed because it’s unprofitable, according to a report from consultants Wood Mackenzie Ltd. that highlights the industry’s resilience.

    The analysis, published ahead of an annual oil-industry gathering in London next week, suggests that oil prices will need to drop even more — or stay low for a lot longer — to meaningfully reduce global production.

    “Since the drop in oil prices last year there have been relatively few production shut-ins,” according to the report. The company, which tracks production and costs at more than 2,000 oilfields worldwide, estimates that another 3.4 million barrels a day of production are losing money at current prices, of about $35 a barrel. It cautioned against expecting further closures, because “many producers will continue to take the loss in the hope of a rebound in prices.”

    The reaction…

     

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