The second estimate of second quarter 2017 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was increased to a positive 3.0 % from the advance estimate’s 2.6 %. Year-over-year growth was also increased from the advance estimate.
Analyst Opinion of GDP
The consumer spending improved, but the real improvement came from using a lower inflation deflator. I am not a fan of quarter-over-quarter exaggerated method of measuring GDP – but my year-over-year preferred method showed moderate acceleration from last quarter.
The market expected:
The same report also provides Gross Domestic Income which in theory should equal Gross Domestic Product. Some have argued the discrepancy is due to misclassification of capital gains as ordinary income – but whatever the reason, there are differences.
Real GDP (blue line) Vs. Real GDI (red line) Expressed As Year-over-Year Change
This second estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the “advance” estimate issued last month. (See caveats below.)
Real GDP per Capita
The table below compares the previous quarter estimate of GDP (Table 1.1.2) with the advance estimate this quarter which shows:
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