Last week, I was looking for a big drop for the gold complex into May 19. We got a huge drop, but not the drop I was looking for. It seems gold is working out a 25- week low while GDX is trying to run 21 weeks to its low. This would place the final washout somewhere near mid month in June.
The stock market looks as though it is about ready to roll over into mid-June also. I have a possible 1807 target for the S&P 500 by or around June 14-15 and GDX 17.68 by or around June 13-14.
The S&P 500 looks as though it wants to top somewhere around May 24th to 25th, while GDX and the gold complex could rise out of a May 25th low into a June 2 top and then rollover hard.
The three charts below explain my thinking:
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