As we approach a long term bottoming in the metals and miners complex, I have received many questions about how to best prepare for the impending transition back into a bull market.So, there are a few things I want to address.
First, I am constantly asked which vehicles are advised for those who want to profit from the next bull market in metals and miners.My answer to that question has been and always will be: physical metals and mining stocks.Moreover, I have done all I can to discourage investors from using most metals ETFs (such as GLD or SLV) as their long-term investing vehicle of choice.
Being a lawyer by training, I have reviewed the prospectus of some of these vehicles, and have provided some general perspectives as to why they should not be used for those who are interested in investing in metals for the primary purpose of safety, insurance or as a store of wealth.In fact, the last half of a webinar I conducted a year ago goes into detail as to why I believe most investors should maintain their distance from these investment vehicles, and I have linked that section of the video here.
Second, I have been questioned many a time about the potential for an investors’ gold to be confiscated by the government.To answer this question, I will direct you to an article I wrote last year which addresses this issue, along with addressing the issue of whether one should store their gold in their bank, all based upon history.
Lastly, I am often asked the question about using options on underlying ETFs to “trade” off the bottom of the metals market.While this can be quite profitable, there are a number of issues I want to point out to those who are considering this aggressive strategy.
First, as noted above, the underlying issues with the ETFs themselves makes owning options on those ETFs infinitely more risky.Second, you really need to get the timing right on the bottoming of this market.We have seen the market delaying this bottoming for well over a year beyond the point where the pattern could have completed, so this adds another highly risky dimension to trading the bottom using an options strategy before we have confirmation that the bottom has been struck.Once we have confirmation that the bottom has been struck, then you can chose to “trade” further upside using an options strategy on an underlying ETF, as long as you recognize the risks involved in the underlying ETF, as I have outlined in my webinar.For this reason, I have advised to all those that are considering trading the market in this manner to not exceed 2% of the capital they are designating for their entire metals investment for these options strategies on these ETFs.There is a real potential you can lose your entire investment in this options strategy overnight due to the inherent risks associated with the underlying ETFs.
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