Gold has been an outperformer in 2022 compared to the United States equities markets and Bitcoin (BTC). The yellow metal is almost flat for the year while the S&P 500 is down more than 19% and Bitcoin has plunged roughly 64%.
The sharp fall in Bitcoin’s price has hurt both short-term and long-term investors alike. According to Glassnode data, 1,889,585 Bitcoin held by short-term holders was at a loss as of Dec. 26 while the loss-making tally of long-term holders was 6,057,858 Bitcoin.
Could Bitcoin lead a recovery in the final few days of the year or will the crypto markets close the year with a whimper? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin has been stuck inside a tight range between $16,559 and the 20-day exponential moving average ($16,877) for the past few days. This indicates that both the bulls and the bears are lying low during the holiday season.
If the price turns down and slips below $16,500, the selling could pick up pace and the BTC/USDT pair could fall to the $16,000 to $15,476 support zone.
Buyers are expected to fiercely defend this zone because if it collapses, the pair could start the next leg of the downtrend.
If the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the moving averages, it will suggest that bulls are attempting a comeback. The pair could then soar to $18,388 where the rally may again hit a roadblock.
ETH/USDT
The failure of the bulls to push Ether (ETH) above the 20-day EMA ($1,223), indicates that the bears are defending the level with vigor. That may have led the bulls to surrender and close their positions.
On the other hand, if the price nosedives below $1,150, the pair will complete a bearish head and shoulders pattern. The pair could first decline to $1,075 and then plunge toward the pattern target of $948.
BNB/USDT
Buyers tried to catapult BNB (BNB) above the overhead resistance zone between $250 and $255 on Dec. 27 but the bears held their ground. This suggests that the bears are trying to flip the $250 level into resistance.
On the contrary, if the price tumbles below $236, it will suggest that the bears are trying to assert their supremacy. The pair could then retest the critical support at $220. A break below this level could open the doors for a possible dip to $200.
XRP/USDT
XRP (XRP) scaled above the 20-day EMA ($0.36) on Dec. 26 but the bulls could not sustain the tempo and overcome the barrier at the resistance line of the symmetrical triangle. This may have tempted the short-term bulls to book profits.
The next trending move is likely to start after the price escapes the triangle. If the price plummets below the triangle, the pair could drop to $0.30 and then to $0.25. Alternatively, if the price turns up and breaks above the triangle, the pair could rally to $0.41.
DOGE/USDT
Dogecoin (DOGE) has dropped to the crucial support at $0.07 on Dec. 28. This level successfully held off assaults by the bears on three previous occasions, hence the bulls will again try to protect it.
Conversely, if the price breaks and closes below $0.07, the descending triangle pattern will complete. That could start a downward move toward $0.06 and thereafter to the pivotal support near $0.05.
ADA/USDT
Cardano’s (ADA) recovery stalled just below the 20-day EMA ($0.27) on Dec. 27, indicating that relief rallies are being sold into.
On the upside, a break and close above the 20-day EMA will be the first indication that the selling pressure could be reducing. The pair could then advance toward the downtrend line.
MATIC/USDT
The bulls failed to pierce the 20-day EMA ($0.82) on Dec. 27, indicating that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. Polygon (MATIC) could slip to the immediate support at $0.75.
If the price turns up from the $0.75, it will suggest that the bulls are buying on minor dips. They will then try to clear the overhead hurdle at the 20-day EMA and thrust the price toward $0.97.
Related: Bitcoin beats Tesla stock in 2022 as BTC price heads for 60% losses
DOT/USDT
In a strong downtrend, the relief rallies are usually shallow and do not last long. That is what happened in Polkadot (DOT), which turned down on Dec. 27 and broke below the $4.37 support on Dec. 28.
The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($4.73). The pair could then rise to the 50-day SMA ($5.21). A trend change will be signaled after bulls thrust the price above the downtrend line.
LTC/USDT
Litecoin (LTC) jumped above the moving averages on Dec. 26 but the bulls could not sustain the momentum. This suggests that demand dries up at higher levels.
Contrarily, if the price turns up and breaks above the moving averages, it will suggest that the bulls are buying on dips. The bulls will then again attempt to kick the price to the overhead resistance at $75.
UNI/USDT
The long wick on Uniswap’s (UNI) Dec. 27 candlestick shows that bears continue to sell on relief rallies near the 20-day EMA ($5.42).
If buyers want to prevent the decline, they will have to quickly push the price back above the moving averages. That could trap the aggressive bears and propel the pair toward the resistance line of the triangle.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
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