Bitcoin’s (BTC) rally in 2023 has been boosted by expectations that the United States Federal Reserve will slow down the pace of its rate hikes as inflation has started cooling down. Some even anticipate a rate cut by the end of the year. That assumption received a jolt on Feb.3 when the U.S. employment data for January beat expectations and unemployment hit its lowest level since May 1969.
If markets do not react negatively to news perceived as bearish, it’s a sign that the sentiment has turned positive. Traders may then shift their focus to the next important economic data release. Trading firm QCP Capital said in its latest market update that the Consumer Price Index print on Feb. 14 could move markets. They believe the risks to the data are to the upside.
Will Bitcoin and altcoins witness profit booking in the near term? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin bounced off the $22,800 support on Feb. 1, indicating that bulls are buying the dips to this level. The bulls pushed the price above $24,000 on Feb. 2 but they could not sustain the higher levels.
The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the 20-day exponential moving average ($22,279). That could trigger the stops of several short-term traders and the pair could then fall to $21,480.
ETH/USDT
Buyers propelled Ether (ETH) above the overhead resistance of $1,680 on Feb. 2 but they could not sustain the breakout. The price gave up all the gains on the day and closed below $1,680.
If bears want to gain the upper hand, they will have to sell aggressively and yank the price back below the 20-day EMA. If they can pull it off, the ETH/USDT pair may decline to $1,500 and if this support cracks, the pullback could eventually reach $1,352.
BNB/USDT
BNB’s (BNB) tight-range trading between the 20-day EMA ($306) and the overhead resistance at $318 resolved to the upside on Feb. 2.
If bears want to halt the up-move, they will have to pull the price back below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then drop to the 50-day simple moving average ($276).
XRP/USDT
XRP (XRP) once again turned down from the $0.42 resistance on Feb. 2, indicating that bears are trying to protect this level.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, the decline could extend to the 50-day SMA ($0.37).
ADA/USDT
Attempts by the bears to sink Cardano (ADA) below the 20-day EMA ($0.37) failed on Feb. 1. The bulls fiercely defended the level as seen from the long tail on the candlestick.
On the contrary, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will signal that traders may be booking profits. That could open the doors for a potential drop to the 50-day SMA ($0.31).
DOGE/USDT
The long tail on Dogecoin’s (DOGE) Feb. 1 candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip to the 20-day EMA ($0.08). However, buyers failed to build upon this strength and overcome the barrier at $0.10.
On the other hand, if the price slips below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the 50-day SMA ($0.08). This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, the pair could retest $0.07.
MATIC/USDT
Polygon (MATIC) turned up from the breakout level of $1.05 on Feb.1 and reached above $1.25 on Feb. 2. The long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that short-term traders may have booked profits at higher levels.
Alternatively, if the price turns down sharply from the current level, the MATIC/USDT pair could drop to $1.05. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a bounce off it could keep the pair range-bound between $1.05 and $1.30 for a few days.
Related: Bitcoin’s big month: Did US institutions prevail over Asian retail traders?
LTC/USDT
Litecoin (LTC) continued its northward march and skyrocketed above the psychological level of $100 on Feb. 1. This rise may have tempted short-term traders to book profits.
This positive view could invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA. Such a move will indicate that the bulls may be rushing to the exit. The pair could then slump to $81 and later to $75.
DOT/USDT
Polkadot (DOT) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($6.21) on Feb. 1 and broke above the overhead resistance of $6.84 on Feb. 2. The bulls could not maintain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the Feb. 2 candlestick.
If bears want to regain control, they will have to quickly sink the price back below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then enter a corrective phase and plummet to $5.50.
AVAX/USDT
Avalanche (AVAX) soared above the overhead resistance at $22 on Feb. 2 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that bears are selling on rallies.
Contrarily, if the price slips below $20.50, the pair could reach the resistance line. The bears will have to sink the pair below this support to tilt the advantage in their favor.
The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
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