Bitcoin (BTC) and most altcoins sold off on Dec. 4 with massive deleveraging seen in the crypto derivatives markets. Data suggests more than $2.5 billion of crypto liquidations over a 24-hour period.
During the recent fall, Ether (ETH) has continued to outperform Bitcoin. While Bitcoin’s market dominance has dropped below 41%, Ether has continued to gain ground and its market dominance has risen above 21%.
Could Bitcoin hit a bottom within the next few days? Let’s analyze the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that could lead the markets higher.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin had taken strong support at the 100-day simple moving average ($54,496) in end-September, making this an important support for the bulls to defend.
The downsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($56,219) and the relative strength index (RSI) near the oversold zone suggest that bears have the upper hand. If the pair continues lower from the current levels, the next stop could be the strong support at $40,000.
Conversely, if the price turns up from the current level, the pair could rise to the 100-day SMA, which may act as a strong hurdle. A break and close above this level will be the first sign that a stronger recovery is possible.
If bulls successfully defend the support line, the pair could rise to the 20-EMA. This level is again expected to act as a strong resistance. If the price turns down from the 20-EMA, it will signal that sentiment remains negative. That may increase the likelihood of a break below the channel.
If that happens, the pair could drop to the strong support zone at $42,000 to $40,000. Conversely, a break and close above the 20-EMA will be the first sign that sellers may be losing their grip. The pair could then rise to the resistance line of the channel.
ETH/USDT
Ether (ETH) has been range-bound between $4,868 and $3,900 for the past few days. Although bears pulled the price below the range on Dec. 4, they could not sustain the lower levels. The bulls bought this dip aggressively as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level, the bears will make one more attempt to sink and sustain the pair below $3,900. If they succeed, the pair could plummet to the strong support at $3,400.
If the price breaks the $4,000 support, the pair could drop to $3,823.98. A break and close below this level could result in a retest of $3,503.68.
Conversely, if bulls drive the price above the moving averages, the pair could rise to $4,654.88 and then challenge the all-time high.
MATIC/USDT
Polygon (MATIC) has been trading inside an ascending channel pattern for the past several days. The bulls pushed the price above the resistance line of the channel on Dec. 3 but could not sustain the higher levels. This may have prompted profit-booking on Dec. 4.
The 20-day EMA ($1.85) is sloping up and the RSI is in the positive zone, signaling advantage to buyers. If the current rebound sustains, the bulls will again attempt to thrust the price above the resistance line.
Alternatively, a break and close below the 50-day SMA ($1.76) could pull the price to the 100-day SMA.
Conversely, if the price rebounds off the 20-EMA, the bulls will again try to thrust the pair above $2.21. If they manage to do that, the pair could rally to $2.40. The bulls will have to clear this overhead hurdle to thrust the pair to the all-time high at $2.70.
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ALGO/USDT
Algorand (ALGO) plunged below the critical support at $1.50 on Dec. 4 but the bulls bought the dip aggressively as seen from the long tail on the candlestick. The bulls will now try to push the price above the moving averages.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the moving averages, it will indicate that bears are selling on rallies. The pair could then retest the support at $1.50. A break and close below this level will complete the bearish setup. The pair could then drop to $0.80.
If buyers drive the price above the moving averages, the pair could rally to the overhead resistance at $2. On the other hand, if the price turns down from the moving averages, the bears will again try to sink and sustain the pair below $1.60. If they manage to do that, a retest of $1.32 is likely.
EGLD/USDT
The sharp rally in Elrond (EGLD) from $287 on Nov. 17 to the all-time high at $544.25 on Nov. 31 pushed the RSI deep into the overbought zone. Vertical rallies are generally followed by waterfall declines and that is what happened in the past few days.
A minor positive is that bulls purchased the lows on Dec. 4 as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick. The buyers are currently attempting to defend the uptrend line and push the price back above the 50-day SMA ($324).
If they manage to do that, the pair could rise to the 20-day EMA ($364) where bears may again mount a stiff resistance. If bulls overcome this hurdle, the pair could rally to $425.
Conversely, if the price dips and closes below the 100-day SMA ($271), the pair could extend its slide to $200.
This indicates that sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. If the price sustains below the uptrend line, the next stop could be $224.62.
On the contrary, if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the 20-EMA, it will indicate that the bears may be losing their grip. The pair could then start a recovery, which may reach the 50-SMA. A break and close above this resistance could clear the path for a possible rally to the $425 to $440 resistance zone.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
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